Hurricane Ike

Forecast Advisory 22

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 061434
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1500 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS...ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON
D.C...DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK
ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 77.4W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 240SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 77.4W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 78.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.7N 74.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 43.5N 68.4W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 175SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 46.8N 60.1W...OVER WATER EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 100SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 49.0N 51.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 51.0N 34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 55.0N 19.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 59.0N 10.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.6N 77.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTNT24 KNHC 061445
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1500 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008

AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA INCLUDING THE
PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...GRANMA...CAMAGUEY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN PENINSULA OF
HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO
GONAIVES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH
FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 68.8W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 90SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 150SE 90SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 68.8W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 67.8W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.4N 70.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.2N 72.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.2N 75.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.5N 77.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.0N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 24.5N 84.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 26.0N 86.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 68.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER RHOME