Hurricane Ike

Forecast Advisory 23

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000
WTNT23 KNHC 062032
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
2100 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...
WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND
SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 75.8W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 24 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 360SE 270SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 75.8W AT 06/2100Z...INLAND
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 76.7W...INLAND

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 41.7N 71.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 45.3N 64.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 48.3N 56.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 100SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 49.6N 47.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 51.5N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 56.0N 17.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 60.0N 10.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 75.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





000
WTNT24 KNHC 062044
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
2100 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED
A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT
ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...AND HOLGUIN.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...
CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS
TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH
FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 69.7W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 70SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 120SE 90SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 69.7W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 69.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.2N 71.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 55SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.1N 74.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.2N 76.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.7N 78.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N 82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 25.0N 85.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 26.5N 87.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 69.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN