Hurricane Ike

Forecast Advisory 24



000
WTNT23 KNHC 070225
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
0300 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NORTHWARD TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...
BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 73.4W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 85SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 150SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 73.4W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 74.6W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 43.0N 68.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 85SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 46.4N 61.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 48.8N 53.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 100SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 50.0N 45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 52.5N 28.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 56.5N 15.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 61.5N 11.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.5N 73.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT24 KNHC 070246
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
0300 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008

AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING TO THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA AND HAS
EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH WESTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF SANCTI
SPIRITUS.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...
CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE
EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA AND SANCTI SPIRITUS.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH
FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 70.9W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE 90SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 70.9W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 70.2W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.0N 73.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.9N 75.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.0N 78.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.7N 80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.5N 83.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 25.0N 86.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N 89.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 70.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA