Hurricane Ike

Forecast Advisory 38

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 101448
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1500 UTC WED SEP 10 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF KEY WEST TO
THE DRY TORTUGAS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 85.3W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 10SE 10SW 50NW.
50 KT.......110NE 80SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 85.3W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 85.3W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.5N 86.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 70NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
50 KT...110NE 80SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.2N 88.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 125SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 25.7N 90.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 125SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.3N 93.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 125SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 28.5N 97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 75SW 125NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 31.5N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 34.5N 96.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 85.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN