Hurricane Ike

Forecast Advisory 44

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 120241
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
0300 UTC FRI SEP 12 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY
TO PORT MANSFIELD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...BUT A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THAT AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY
TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 90.4W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 956 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT.......100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
34 KT.......230NE 230SE 150SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 360SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 90.4W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 89.9W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.1N 92.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
34 KT...230NE 230SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 28.5N 94.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT...100NE 100SE 30SW 60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...230NE 240SE 150SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 30.3N 95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.9N 95.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 39.0N 88.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...ABSORBED INTO FRONTAL ZONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 90.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB