Hurricane Ike

Forecast Advisory 46

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 121450
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1500 UTC FRI SEP 12 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE
COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO
PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 92.6W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT.......105NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
34 KT.......240NE 200SE 150SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 360SE 270SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 92.6W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 92.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 28.2N 94.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT...105NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 30.0N 95.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT...105NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 32.5N 96.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 36.0N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 92.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

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FORECASTER AVILA