Tropical Storm Josephine

Forecast Advisory 15



000
WTNT25 KNHC 052032
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008
2100 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 35.2W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 35.2W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 34.9W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.4N 36.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.3N 37.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.5N 39.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.7N 41.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.0N 45.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.0N 48.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 26.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 35.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BLAKE




000
WTNT23 KNHC 052032
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
2100 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING ALL OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY....THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...AND THE
DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THIS AREA TONIGHT.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO MERRIMACK
RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 78.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT.......250NE 200SE 60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 250SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 78.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 78.5W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.2N 78.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 36.7N 76.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.7N 72.4W...OVER WATER EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 175SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 44.5N 65.6W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 75SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 50.0N 47.5W...OVER WATER EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 51.0N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 52.5N 14.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 78.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTNT24 KNHC 052045
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
2100 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE REST OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA...
AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 64.1W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT.......105NE 90SE 90SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 180SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 64.1W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 63.4W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.6N 66.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.2N 68.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 22.1N 71.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 22.2N 73.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.0N 78.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.5N 81.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 25.5N 83.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 64.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN