Tropical Storm Josephine

Forecast Advisory 16



000
WTNT25 KNHC 060251
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102008
0300 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 35.8W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 35.8W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 35.4W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.8N 36.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.6N 38.7W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.7N 40.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.8N 43.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.0N 46.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.0N 49.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 25.5N 52.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 35.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA




000
WTNT23 KNHC 060254
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
0300 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR AND
LONG ISLAND SOUND.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF EDISTO
BEACH AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHWARD
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO WATCH HILL RHODE
ISLAND...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE
BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH
CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA EARLY SATURDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF WATCH HILL
TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 79.1W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT.......225NE 175SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 120SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 79.1W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 79.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 34.9N 78.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 175SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.0N 75.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 175SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 42.5N 69.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 175SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 46.5N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 75SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 50.0N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 51.5N 27.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 55.0N 13.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 79.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT24 KNHC 060255
TCMAT4
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
0300 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008

AT 1100 PM...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

AT 11 PM...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA ON
SATURDAY.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE REST OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH FLORIDA...
AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 65.6W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT.......105NE 90SE 90SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 120SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 65.6W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 64.8W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.3N 67.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.0N 70.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.9N 72.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.9N 75.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.9N 79.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.5N 82.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 26.0N 84.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 65.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA