Hurricane Kyle

Forecast Advisory 1



057
WTNT21 KNHC 252031
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM KYLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008
2100 UTC THU SEP 25 2008

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KYLE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 68.3W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 68.3W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 68.4W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.2N 68.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.7N 68.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 31.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 34.5N 69.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 43.0N 67.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 50.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 53.0N 53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 68.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS