Hurricane Kyle

Forecast Advisory 3



347
WTNT21 KNHC 260832
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM KYLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008
0900 UTC FRI SEP 26 2008

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES REGION SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KYLE DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 68.3W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 30SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 68.3W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 68.2W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.5N 68.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.5N 69.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 34.0N 69.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 38.5N 69.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 45.7N 66.3W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 51.0N 61.0W...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 68.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




270
WTNT21 KNHC 260835
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM KYLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112008
0900 UTC FRI SEP 26 2008

...CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY GUSTS TO 60 KT

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES REGION SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KYLE DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 68.3W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......140NE 120SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 30SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 68.3W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 68.2W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.5N 68.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.5N 69.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 34.0N 69.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 38.5N 69.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 45.7N 66.3W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...220NE 200SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 51.0N 61.0W...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 68.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART