Hurricane Omar

Forecast Advisory 2



000
WTNT25 KNHC 132036
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
2100 UTC MON OCT 13 2008

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTION
OF HISPANIOLA FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO.

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BRISTISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 69.9W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 69.9W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 69.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 14.9N 69.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.5N 69.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.5N 68.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.7N 66.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 23.5N 59.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 27.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 69.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT24 KNHC 132037
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142008
2100 UTC MON OCT 13 2008

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 40.6W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 40.6W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 40.3W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.1N 41.7W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.9N 42.9W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.9N 44.3W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 40.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN