Hurricane Omar

Forecast Advisory 9

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438
WTNT25 KNHC 151448
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
1500 UTC WED OCT 15 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...
SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND
MONTSERRAT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 67.2W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 45SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 100SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 67.2W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 67.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.6N 65.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.1N 63.9W...NRN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.0N 61.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.7N 60.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 30.0N 56.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 37.0N 48.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 45.0N 32.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 67.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART





051
WTNT21 KNHC 151456
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008
1500 UTC WED OCT 15 2008

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS REPLACED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN
BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
ENTIRE HONDURAS COAST FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO
THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF GUATEMALA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 84.5W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 84.5W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 84.2W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.8N 85.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.8N 86.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.6N 87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.4N 88.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.5N 90.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 84.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART