Hurricane Omar

Forecast Advisory 15

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512
WTNT25 KNHC 170236
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
0300 UTC FRI OCT 17 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 58.1W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 58.1W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 58.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 26.4N 56.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 29.3N 54.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.3N 51.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 33.3N 49.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 37.0N 43.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 38.0N 35.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 38.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 58.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN