Hurricane Omar

Forecast Advisory 16



650
WTNT25 KNHC 170833
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
0900 UTC FRI OCT 17 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 56.4W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 56.4W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 57.1W

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 28.7N 54.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.0N 52.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 33.0N 50.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 35.0N 48.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 38.5N 42.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 40.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 40.0N 28.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 56.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA