Hurricane Omar

Forecast Advisory 17



374
WTNT25 KNHC 171451
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
1500 UTC FRI OCT 17 2008


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 55.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 30 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 45SE 0SW 45NW.
34 KT.......100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 55.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 55.7W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 31.4N 53.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 0SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.4N 51.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 0SW 45NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.1N 49.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.6N 47.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 0SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.0N 42.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 40.5N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N 55.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART