Hurricane Omar

Forecast Advisory 19



336
WTNT25 KNHC 180233
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
0300 UTC SAT OCT 18 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 52.8W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 25SE 25SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 90SE 75SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE 90SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 52.8W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 53.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.3N 51.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 25SE 25SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 75SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.1N 48.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 75SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.7N 46.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 38.3N 43.2W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.5N 39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 42.0N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 52.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN