Hurricane Paloma

Forecast Advisory 5

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 062034
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PALOMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172008
2100 UTC THU NOV 06 2008

AT 4 PM EST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 4 PM EST...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

INTERESTS IN CUBA AND JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 81.8W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 81.8W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 81.9W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.2N 81.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.3N 82.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.3N 81.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.0N 80.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.5N 78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 23.5N 75.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 26.5N 72.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 81.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH