Tropical Depression Sixteen

Forecast Advisory 7

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784
WTNT21 KNHC 160238
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008
0300 UTC THU OCT 16 2008


TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 85.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 85.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 85.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.1N 86.9W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.0N 88.1W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.1N 89.3W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 85.9W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

$$
FORECASTER RHOME





181
WTNT25 KNHC 160256
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008
0300 UTC THU OCT 16 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN
EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST.
BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND ANGUILLA. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO...AND ALSO FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE..WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND
MONTSERRAT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 64.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 64.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 65.2W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.4N 63.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.2N 61.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.0N 59.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.6N 57.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.0N 53.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 41.0N 41.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 47.0N 25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 64.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN