Tropical Storm Ana

Forecast Advisory 18



273
WTNT24 KNHC 161435
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042009
1500 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 84.6W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 84.6W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 84.2W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 30.2N 85.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 32.1N 87.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 34.0N 88.2W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 84.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS




711
WTNT22 KNHC 161438
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
1500 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009

AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR DOMINICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.
MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL
WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 55.8W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 55.8W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 54.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.2N 58.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.1N 62.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.1N 66.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.3N 70.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.0N 77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 23.5N 83.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 25.5N 85.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 55.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS




250
WTNT23 KNHC 161441
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009
1500 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 38.4W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 38.4W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 37.7W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.6N 40.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.4N 43.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.3N 45.9W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.2N 48.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 20.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 24.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 38.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE