Tropical Storm Ana

Forecast Advisory 19



000
WTNT24 KNHC 162032
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042009
2100 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 85.6W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 15SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 85.6W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 85.1W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.9N 86.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 15NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.7N 87.8W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.5N 88.7W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 85.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS




000
WTNT23 KNHC 162037
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009
2100 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 40.0W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 45SE 0SW 45NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 75SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 40.0W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 39.2W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.4N 42.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.2N 45.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.0N 47.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.0N 50.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.5N 55.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 22.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 26.5N 65.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 40.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




000
WTNT22 KNHC 162040
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
2100 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO CABO BEATA. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST.KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.MAARTEN...ST.
MARTIN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...GUADELOUPE...AND ST. BARTHELEMY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL
WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS
LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 58.8W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 58.8W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 57.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.7N 62.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.7N 66.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.8N 70.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.8N 73.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 21.5N 80.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 23.5N 84.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 25.0N 87.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 58.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS