Hurricane Bill

Forecast Advisory 4



000
WTNT23 KNHC 160849
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009
0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 37.2W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 25SE 0SW 25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 25SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 37.2W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 36.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 11.8N 39.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 12.5N 41.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 13.4N 44.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.3N 47.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N 53.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...105NE 75SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 19.0N 58.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 22.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N 37.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




000
WTNT24 KNHC 160858
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042009
0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER
FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 83.9W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 83.9W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 83.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 29.2N 85.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 31.0N 86.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 33.0N 87.5W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N 83.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN




000
WTNT22 KNHC 160859
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009

AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...
ANTIGUA...BARBUDA... T.KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.
MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ANA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED
FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 53.8W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 53.8W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 52.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.0N 56.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.9N 60.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.8N 64.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.6N 68.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.0N 76.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 23.0N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 25.0N 85.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 53.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN