Hurricane Bill

Forecast Advisory 27

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340
WTNT23 KNHC 220233
TCMAT3
HURRICANE BILL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009
0300 UTC SAT AUG 22 2009

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
BERMUDA.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND IN THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BILL. TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE ISSUED ON SATURDAY FOR NOVA SCOTIA AND
NEWFOUNDLAND.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 67.5W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT.......240NE 200SE 135SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 420SE 540SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 67.5W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 67.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 33.5N 68.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 115SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 37.3N 67.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 75NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 115SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 41.3N 65.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT... 90NE 115SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...240NE 215SE 130SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 45.1N 59.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 50.5N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 300SE 300SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 55.0N 19.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 60.5N 6.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 67.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN