Tropical Storm Danny

Forecast Advisory 1



000
WTNT25 KNHC 261430
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009
1500 UTC WED AUG 26 2009

INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 70.3W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 70.3W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 70.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.8N 72.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.8N 73.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 28.1N 74.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 30.1N 75.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT...135NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 36.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...135NE 135SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 45.0N 67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 52.0N 53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.9N 70.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN