Tropical Storm Danny

Forecast Advisory 3



621
WTNT25 KNHC 270245
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2009

INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS AND FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW
ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 71.6W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 0SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 71.6W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 71.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.8N 72.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 0SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 28.1N 74.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 45SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 30.0N 74.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 32.8N 74.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 41.5N 69.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 49.0N 58.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 53.5N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 71.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH