Tropical Storm Danny

Forecast Advisory 4

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015
WTNT25 KNHC 270839
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2009

INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 72.1W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 0SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 210SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 72.1W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 71.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 28.4N 73.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 0SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 30.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 0SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 32.3N 74.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 45NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 35.7N 72.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.0N 66.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 50.0N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 53.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 72.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE