Tropical Storm Danny

Forecast Advisory 5



723
WTNT25 KNHC 271433
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2009

INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF DANNY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 73.1W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 0SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 73.1W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 72.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 28.7N 73.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 0SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 30.3N 74.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 0SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 33.2N 74.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 45NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 36.9N 72.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 45.0N 64.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 50.0N 53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 52.5N 37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 73.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN