Tropical Storm Danny

Forecast Advisory 6

---

079
WTNT25 KNHC 272035
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2009

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...
INCLUDING THE ABLEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 73.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 73.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 73.4W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 28.5N 74.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 30.7N 75.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 34.4N 74.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 0SW 45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.8N 71.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.5N 61.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 50.0N 49.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 51.0N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 73.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN