Tropical Storm Danny

Forecast Advisory 8

---

384
WTNT25 KNHC 280840
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009
0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2009

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE...WITHIN 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA ON FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 74.4W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 74.4W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 74.3W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 31.3N 74.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 34.2N 74.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.5N 71.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 90SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 42.5N 67.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 47.5N 59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 180SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 52.0N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 54.0N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 74.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA