Tropical Storm Danny

Forecast Advisory 12



924
WTNT25 KNHC 290842
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009
0900 UTC SAT AUG 29 2009

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 74.6W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 27 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 74.6W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 75.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.0N 73.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 41.2N 69.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 200SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.2N 62.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 100SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 49.5N 56.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 300SE 100SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 54.5N 43.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 240SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 56.5N 27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 57.0N 10.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.3N 74.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER AVILA