Hurricane Fred

Forecast Advisory 2

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 080256
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
0300 UTC TUE SEP 08 2009

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 26.3W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 30SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 26.3W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 25.6W

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 12.0N 28.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 12.6N 30.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 13.6N 31.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.8N 32.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.5N 34.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 19.0N 34.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 21.0N 34.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 26.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN