Hurricane Fred

Forecast Advisory 6

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 090242
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
0300 UTC WED SEP 09 2009

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 30.6W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 30.6W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 30.0W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 13.3N 31.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.5N 33.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.7N 34.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.8N 34.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.3N 34.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 20.0N 33.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 23.0N 34.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 30.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

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FORECASTER BERG