Hurricane Fred

Forecast Advisory 7

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 090835
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
0900 UTC WED SEP 09 2009

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 31.7W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 90SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 31.7W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 31.2W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.1N 32.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.4N 33.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.5N 34.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.3N 34.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.4N 34.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.6N 34.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 23.0N 34.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 31.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

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FORECASTER PASCH