Hurricane Fred

Forecast Advisory 8

---

000
WTNT22 KNHC 091441
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
1500 UTC WED SEP 09 2009

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 32.4W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 32.4W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 32.1W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.9N 33.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.2N 34.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.2N 34.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.7N 34.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.7N 34.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 20.5N 34.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 23.5N 36.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 32.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE