Hurricane Fred

Forecast Advisory 9

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 092033
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
2100 UTC WED SEP 09 2009

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 33.3W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 33.3W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 32.9W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.8N 34.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.0N 34.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.8N 34.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 18.3N 34.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 19.5N 33.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 21.5N 34.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 23.5N 37.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 33.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE