Hurricane Fred

Forecast Advisory 20

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000
WTNT22 KNHC 121433
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
1500 UTC SAT SEP 12 2009

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 33.7W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 25SE 40SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 33.7W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 33.7W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.7N 33.7W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.4N 34.4W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.3N 36.4W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.5N 38.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.5N 44.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 33.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

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FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN