Hurricane Ida

Forecast Advisory 4

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 050830
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
0900 UTC THU NOV 05 2009

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF
NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN
COAST OF NICARAGUA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 83.4W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT....... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 83.4W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 83.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.3N 83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 15SW 15NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.9N 84.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.7N 84.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.7N 84.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.0N 85.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.0N 86.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 22.0N 87.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 83.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

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FORECASTER BRENNAN/CANGIALOSI