Hurricane Ida

Forecast Advisory 6

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 052037
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
2100 UTC THU NOV 05 2009

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BORDER.

AT 4 PM EST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON
EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 83.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 25SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 83.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 83.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.9N 83.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 15SW 15NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.9N 84.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.0N 84.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.1N 84.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.6N 85.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 25SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 22.5N 87.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 25.0N 87.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 83.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN