Hurricane Ida

Forecast Advisory 9

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 061453
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
1500 UTC FRI NOV 06 2009

AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM
THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER TO LIMON.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 84.0W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 84.0W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 84.0W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.7N 84.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.8N 84.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.9N 85.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.1N 85.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.5N 87.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.0N 87.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 27.0N 86.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 84.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN