Hurricane Ida

Forecast Advisory 10

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 062045
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
2100 UTC FRI NOV 06 2009

INTERESTS IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 83.9W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 83.9W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 83.9W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.7N 84.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.9N 84.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.1N 85.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.6N 86.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.5N 88.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 27.5N 87.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 27.5N 85.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 83.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

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FORECASTER BLAKE