Hurricane Ida

Forecast Advisory 11

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 070232
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
0300 UTC SAT NOV 07 2009

INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 84.0W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 84.0W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 83.9W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.1N 84.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.4N 84.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.7N 85.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.4N 86.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.5N 88.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 27.5N 87.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N 85.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 84.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

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FORECASTER BERG