Hurricane Ida

Forecast Advisory 17

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 080904
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112009
0900 UTC SUN NOV 08 2009

CORRECTED TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN YUCATAN PENINSULA

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM PLAYA DEL CARMEN TO CABO CATOCHE. A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM TULUM TO PLAYA DEL CARMEN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO PLAYA DEL CARMEN AND FROM
CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD TO SAN FELIPE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
PINAR DEL RIO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 85.6W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT.......120NE 75SE 40SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 85.6W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 85.3W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.8N 86.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...135NE 75SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.0N 87.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 75SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.7N 88.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 105SE 75SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 28.5N 88.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 105SE 60SW 145NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 29.8N 86.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 28.0N 84.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 85.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

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FORECASTER BRENNAN/KIMBERLAIN