Hurricane Alex

Forecast Advisory 7

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 270858
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
0900 UTC SUN JUN 27 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 89.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 89.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 89.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.1N 90.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.2N 91.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.9N 92.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.5N 93.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 65SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.6N 95.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 23.2N 97.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 23.5N 99.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 89.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART