Hurricane Alex

Forecast Advisory 11

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000
WTNT21 KNHC 280851
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
0900 UTC MON JUN 28 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF
THE COASTAL REGIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 91.6W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 91.6W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 91.4W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.3N 91.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 45SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.4N 92.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.4N 93.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.3N 94.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.6N 97.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 130SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 25.6N 99.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 26.5N 101.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 91.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART