Hurricane Alex

Forecast Advisory 16



000
WTNT21 KNHC 291431
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1500 UTC TUE JUN 29 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 93.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 30SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 93.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 92.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.7N 94.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.7N 95.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...135NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.2N 97.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.7N 98.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 26.0N 101.5W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 93.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN