Tropical Storm Colin

Forecast Advisory 3



000
WTNT24 KNHC 030246
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010
0300 UTC TUE AUG 03 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 45.1W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 45.1W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 44.1W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.6N 48.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.0N 52.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.7N 56.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.6N 59.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N 65.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N 68.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 31.0N 69.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 45.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN