Tropical Storm Colin

Forecast Advisory 11



000
WTNT24 KNHC 061448
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010
1500 UTC FRI AUG 06 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 66.9W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 66.9W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 67.1W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.3N 66.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 30.2N 66.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 32.2N 65.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 34.5N 64.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 39.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 90SW 75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 45.0N 52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 53.0N 41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 66.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN