Tropical Storm Colin

Forecast Advisory 14

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000
WTNT24 KNHC 070833
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010
0900 UTC SAT AUG 07 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 66.5W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 110SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 66.5W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 66.6W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.4N 66.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 32.3N 65.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 34.8N 63.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 37.8N 61.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 60SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 44.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 90SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 51.5N 43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N 66.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN