Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 3



000
WTNT21 KNHC 220831
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0900 UTC SUN AUG 22 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 33.4W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 33.4W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 33.0W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.6N 34.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.4N 36.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.4N 39.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.5N 42.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 65NE 50SE 40SW 55NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 22.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 24.5N 55.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 33.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN