Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 9



000
WTNT21 KNHC 232032
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
2100 UTC MON AUG 23 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 41.5W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 41.5W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 40.7W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.3N 43.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.8N 46.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT...105NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.6N 48.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.6N 51.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 90SW 105NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 27.5N 57.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 30.5N 58.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 41.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG