Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 11



000
WTNT21 KNHC 240831
TCMAT1
HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
0900 UTC TUE AUG 24 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 44.6W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 35SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 60SE 30SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 44.6W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 44.0W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.9N 46.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 45SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...115NE 95SE 65SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.6N 48.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 60NE 55SE 40SW 55NW.
34 KT...125NE 105SE 70SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 20.5N 51.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 65NW.
34 KT...130NE 105SE 80SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 22.3N 52.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...135NE 115SE 95SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 25.5N 55.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 65SE 50SW 65NW.
34 KT...140NE 125SE 95SW 125NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 28.0N 57.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 31.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 44.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN